Away team
SEC · FPI +20.1 (#8) · Eff 60.1
Home team
SEC · FPI +24.8 (#5) · Eff 52
10,000 simulations
Georgia has the edge
Alabama
39%
win probability
Georgia
61%
win probability
Alabama quarterback
Keelon Russell
Ourlads QB1 · CBCD 2025–26 play-data grade · Sep 10
Georgia quarterback
Gunner Stockton
Ourlads QB1 · CBCD 2025–26 play-data grade · Sep 10
Signal breakdown
Each component votes independently
Advanced model inputs · 12%
Five added metrics
Only independent, verified metrics vote. Repeated Week 1 signals and missing inputs remain neutral.
data coverage
0 of 1 available advanced metrics agree with the core computer lean. Neutral placeholders contribute no directional edge until verified data is available.
Model vs. market
Model line: UGA -4.0
Consensus input: UGA -4.5
Projected total: 51.0 vs. 51.5
Possession simulation
UGA wins per 10,000 trials
Model sources
All 138 starting quarterbacks now use CBCD’s independent public-data grade. Week 1 play efficiency is available for 135 teams; missing data remains neutral. CBS’s nine-writer ATS consensus is available for 24 featured games and is heavily shrunk because a cover pick is not a straight-up prediction.
Daily market verification
All 86 Week 2 games were refreshed September 10. CBCD now has 84 DraftKings spreads and 85 totals, with every projection recalculated from the new snapshot.